The Kashmir Valley is unlikely to witness any major spell of rainfall over the coming days, although intermittent light rain and brief showers will continue, while the Jammu division is expected to receive heavy rainfall with the risk of flash floods, landslides and mudslides, Director of the Meteorological Department Mukhtar Ahmad said on Thursday.Ahmad said weather conditions would remain largely stable across the Valley, while rainfall activity would be more pronounced in Jammu.
"Overall, there is no significant weather activity expected in the Kashmir Valley. The weather will remain cloudy, with intermittent light rain and brief showers at some places. It will neither be completely clear nor continuously wet. These conditions are likely to continue until around August 5," he said.
He said widespread rainfall activity was expected on Thursday, with brief showers likely across the Valley and different districts of Jammu.
"Today... there will be a spell of widespread rainfall activity, especially across the Valley and different districts of Jammu division. Most places are likely to receive brief showers, while a few locations may witness intense showers," Ahmad said.
According to the MeT Director, the Jammu division could witness another heavy spell of rain during the early hours of Friday, with additional spells likely between August 2–3 and August 3–4.
"Heavy rainfall is expected in the Jammu division, especially during late-night and early-morning hours. This may lead to landslides, mudslides and shooting stones," he said.
He cautioned that isolated intense showers could also trigger flash floods in vulnerable areas.
Advising farmers, Ahmad said routine agricultural activities need not be suspended.
"Farmers can continue their routine work, including spraying, field preparation and fertiliser application," he said.
He also urged travellers and transporters to exercise caution, particularly in the Jammu region.
"Travellers, commuters, tourists and transporters should plan their journeys keeping the weather forecast in mind," Ahmad said, adding that people travelling through the Chenab Valley, the Pir Panjal region and the Srinagar-Jammu National Highway should remain alert to the possibility of landslides and mudslides and follow advisories issued by the administration and traffic authorities.
On temperatures, Ahmad said daytime and night-time temperatures are likely to rise gradually over the next two weeks before beginning to decline later in August.
"This pattern is likely to continue until around August 20... After that, temperatures will gradually decline, marking the onset of autumn, which is expected to begin gradually after August 20," he said.